NFL Week 14 Pick’em

Another Week and another set back in the Sleeper League. I dropped from T4 to T5. Lucky for me, the difference between me and 1st place is 1-2 good weeks.

Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons (+7.5)

Seahawks – 7.5 Falcons have called it quits. The ghost of Cousins is at QB. Seahawks are a clear favorite for the Super Bowl. Jaxon Smith-Njigba was contained last week, so expect a big bounce back game for him here. Coach Macdonald has this Defense buzzing, and there going to be all over Cousins.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens (-5.5)

Steelers +5.5 Mike Tomlin game. In division. Lamar is 3-5 straight up against the Steelers. Barstool Big Cat has the best analysis for this team. Bet on them when you doubt them, and fade when everyone is expecting them. After last week’s performance, I expect a bounce back. Ravens best hope is to run the ball, but the Stealers Defense is limiting teams to under 100 rushing yards a game this season.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Buffalo Bills (-5.5)

Bengals +5.5 I got burned by Burrow during Thanksgiving. He’s back and so good. Very cool to. This game is really hard for me. I think the Bills win, but it will be close. The Bengals Offense is alive, and I am not sure Allen has the weapons to keep up. Guys like James Cook and Keon Coleman are going to have to have big days. I can picture it know, Allen leading a 2 minute drive at the end of the game to get a last second field goal kick. The camera pans to Burrow looking disappointed, but still very cool.

Tennessee Titans @ Cleveland Browns (-3.5)

Browns -3.5 This game makes me want to puke. If your a red zone watcher, like me, than you will likely never see this game. I can’t believe that I am going to pick Sanders as a favorite, but I believe the Browns Defense is going to make some crazy plays. I think its more likely Cleveland D/ST gets a TD over Sanders throwing one. Titans are hopeless. Ward is going to get tormented by Myles Garrett.

Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars (-1.5)

Jaguars -1.5 This kills me as a Colts fan, but they haven’t won in Jacksonville since 2014. Thats over 10 years. The Wentz game (where they were -15.5 favorites) to get us in the playoffs still haunts me to this day. Colts are crashing, Jags are red hot. Kind of strange this line isn’t close to -3. Really suprised.

Washington Commanders @ Minnesota Vikings (+1.5)

Vikings +1.5 9 is back in action this week. Both these teams are brutal. I am just going to go with the home team that has a better coach. If JJ has a good game, it has to be against this Defense. The Commanders secondary is not going to be able to cover Jefferson. Just throw it near him. They need to get him the ball.

Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets (+2.5)

Dolphins -2.5 Dolphins have been quietly winning a bunch of games in this stretch. All of them being bad teams, but so are the Jets. The Jets have been playing better in recent games. The locker room has clearly not given up. I would pick the Jets in this game if it was colder. You can look up the Tua cold temperature stats, but this game is going to be in the 40s. Side note: a loss for the Dolphins and they need to get booted from the “In the hunt” graphic. There no where near the hunt.

New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-8.5)

Buccaneers -8.5 I am going to label this as my “Baker Bounce Back” game. Bucs are quietly getting healthier. Earlier in the year, the Bucs killed the Saints in New Orleans 23-3. The Saints haven’t gotten any better.

Denver Broncos @ Las Vegas Raiders (+7.5)

Broncos -7.5 Raiders are right up there with the Titans as the worst team in the league. There not even fun to watch. The Broncos has a legit Super Bowl caliber Defense. Expect Patrick Surtain to matchup with Bowers. I don’t see how the Raiders Offense thrives here. Give me the team cruising to the playoffs over the team crashing and burning.

Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals (+8.5)

Cardinals +8.5 Rams are Super Bowl favorites, but the Cardinals are a bit better then their record states. Brissett has thrown for 300+ yards in the past 3 weeks. Cardinals kept it close with the Jags and Bucs, both playoff teams. Panthers were able to pounce on the Rams last week. 8.5 is a lot of points here. Expect the Rams to win, but the Cardinals to keep it close.

Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers (-6.5)

Bears +6.5 Aaron Rodgers, the bogey man, isn’t in Green Bay anymore. Ben Johnson has completely changed the culture. It is hard to hope off the Bears train. The win against the Eagles surprised everyone, and clearly the book makers still think the Bears are pretenders. I like the Bears outright here. This team can really run the ball and they will have to with Rome out. The Bears TE, Loveland, should have plenty of targets, I like his receiving props this week.

Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5)

Chiefs -3.5 Now its do or die for the Chiefs. The Colts could have easily beat the Texans last week. The Texans Offense scares maybe the Raiders. The Defense should scare James Harrison. Back against the wall, I don’t know how you don’t go with the Chiefs. Year after year they have shown that they are never out. If they loose this game, its over.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Los Angeles Chargers (+3.5)

Chargers +3.5 This line is jarring, but it tells you that Herbert may not play. As of Saturday night, he has no been ruled out. Meanwhile, on the Eagles, Sirianni stated “drastic changes” to the Offense. Oh yeah, Jalen Carter casually had surgery on BOTH shoulders. I look at this game like two girls, one stable with a good job and the other a party girl that lives out of her van. I go with the stable girl every day of the week.

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