No NFL player has ever lead the league in Combined Tackles and won a Super Bowl in the same year (since 1979)

When you go to the ESPN NFL stats page, your greeted by Defensive Leaders and a list of the players with the most total tackles.

Image taken from https://www.espn.com/nfl/stats

Generally, when a player has a lot of tackles, that means the Defense is on the field a lot. Its like pitch count in baseball, Ideally, you want your pitcher to throw 3 pitches and get 3 outs. Ideally, for an NFL defense you would want to make 3 tackles and force a punt. Its a weird stat where you would think, lower the number, the better. But instead, Defensive leaders are often related to the Total Tackle leader. Which may not be a good thing …..

This may surprise you, but: No player has ever lead the league in Combined Tackles and won a Super Bowl in the same year (At least until 1979).

Going back to 1979, if you look at the number of games the leading tackler for each year won, it may be suprising to some.

The fewest regular season wins to win a Super Bowl is 9. As you can in the chart above, quite a lot of the league leading tacklers were parts of terrible teams.

I find it quite remarkable that you have a number of teams that won 10, 11, 12, and even 14 games and still none won a Super Bowl. If I told you that your team was guaranteed to win at least 10 games in the regular season for 12 straight years and you didn’t win one Super Bowl, you would probably be disappointed.

In reality, if you have the league leading tackler than your probably not on a very good team because your defense is stuck on the field. However, what this stat does tell you is that there is a really good player on a bad defense and that should still be celebrated.

How the hell do you win 14 games and not win the Super Bowl?

What if I told you that the New England Patriots won 14 games in the regular season and were defeated by ….. wait for it ….. the New York Jets in the Divisional Round. And that team was lead by …. wait for it …. Mark Sanchez

In case you didn’t know what Sanchez has been up to. Not good.

My personal Tackling DAWG

Jessie Tuggle lead the league 4 years in tackles. 3 of those were in a row from 1990-1992. The man amassed 1805 tackles in a 14 year carrier. Holy crap! That is a lot, a lot of contact. What makes him even more of a dog is that he went undrafted.

Recommend a watch if your like me and weren’t born yet.

Next ….

I compilled the Top 25 Tacklers for every season dating back to 2000. The data may be surprising ….

Thanksgiving Day Parlays: Best Props for All Three Games

Let’s face it, your going to put in to some parlays for the Thanksgiving games. Here are a couple parlays that I am rolling with.

Why I Love it?

  • Jared Goff has at least 1 passing TD in all 11 starts this year
  • Packers have allowed 120 rushing yards per game in their last 5 games. Packers DLine is anchored on the edge, Gibbs should take advantage up the middle. High pressure situations results in Goff check downs.
  • Jordan Love is averaging 160 passing yards in his last three starts
  • Christian Watson has at least 4 receptions in every game this year

Why I Love it?

  • Worthy has at least 3 catches in his last 5 starts
  • Chiefs offense will struggle to run the ball resulting in more passes. Dallas runes zone 78%. Mahomes and Co excel against the zone. Cowboys secondary is 30th in the league.
  • Remove the Panther and Broncos game and Ferguson is averaging almost 7 receptions per game.
  • Williams has hit this number in all but two games. Cowboys have a reliable running offense.

Why I Love it?

  • Bengals allow 76 receptions for 962 yards and 13 TD to TEs this year.
  • Bengals are 1st in the league for missed tackles. Bengals rushing defense allows 156 yards per game (31st in the league)

The Peoples TD Parlay

2025 NFL Thanksgiving Games: Picks and Previews

Man, we are blessed! There was a point in the season where these games looked grim. Now, all three have playoff contentions. Below I am going to pick each game against the spread.

Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions (-3)

If Detriot’s offense was an engine, Jahmyr Gibbs is the oil the keeps it running. In Lions wins this season, Gibbs is averaging 114 rushing yards per game (YPG). In losses, that number drops to 37, which shows clear as day that the offense goes as Gibbs does. Gibbs is coming off a 200+ yard outing, and I expect him to keep the train rolling. The Packers have allowed 120 rushing YPG over its last 5 games. The softest part of the Packers Defense is right up the middle. That is exactly where Gibbs does the most damage. Expect him to break off a few chunk runs.

What worries me is the Lion’s offensive line. They’re banged up. The Lions have given up 14 sacks in their last five games, while the Packers have totaled 11. If Green Bay can pressure Goff into making quick decisions, they will have success. But, the Packers will still have to worry about the check down to Gibbs or Montgomery.

The Packers Offense has been just OK. Jordan Love is throwing for only about 160 yards a game. None of the Packers WRs really scare me, where Amon-Ra on the lions, is just phenomenal. The Lions secondary is getting healthier. The Lions know whats at stake here, I am going to stick with the Lions on this one. I trust their offense more then I trust the Packers Offense.

Official pick: Detroit Lions -3

Kansas City Chiefs @ Dallas Cowboys (+3)

Lets start with the trenches. The Cowboys have the advantage here, despite Chris Jones. Their run defense has been dominant, holding the Raiders and Eagles to just 27 and 63 rushing yards. Largely due to the addition of Quinn Williams. Before he arrived, Dallas was giving up 143 rushing yards per game. After, that number dropped to 45. He’s coming off a career high 8 pressures and should be huge in this game. Especially if Trey Smith is out for the Chiefs.

One thing I love in this game is the use of play action. Dallas has a reliable running game this season with Javonte Williams. A good run game opens up the play action. The Chiefs are 31st in the league against the play action. Dallas runs play action on 28.4 % of their drop backs and completing 81.4% of their passes (5th in the league). Another winner from this is Pickens and Lamb. They should benefit from a good running game and I can see both having great games.

The Cowboys secondary scares me. They are bottom of the league. They run zone 78% of their snaps and the Chiefs offense is notoriously good against the zone. The Cowboys defensive strength is up the middle, but that is where the Chiefs strength is. Oh, I forgot, the Chiefs are 1-4 away this year and the Cowboys are 3-1 at home. I think both offenses score a lot here, but I am going with the home dog.

Official Pick: Dallas Cowboys +3

Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens (-7)

The Bengals rank near the bottom of the league against the run, allowing 156 rushing YPG. Lamar isn’t running or throwing well. He’s averaging only 18 rushing yards per game since his return and completing just 57.1% of his passes. I think he bounces back here, the Ravens are going to have to run the ball to win this game.

Chase is coming back from suspensions and is posed for a big game. Higgins will be out (concussion). The Ravens Defense is not the same D we saw earlier in the season. Since the Raven’s bye week, they rank 1st in EPA as a rushing defense and 6th in passing defense. Their only allowing a 26.6% conversion rate on third down. A big part of that defense is Kyle Hamilton. He didn’t practice Monday, but may play.

Burrow has historically had success against Baltimore, averaging 300 passing yards, two touchdowns, and a 104.8 passer rating in 9 meetings. This stat cancels out when you consider Lamar is 9-1 straight up against the Bengals. I don’t trust Burrow after a long break, just look at his Week 1 stat lines over the years.

Mark Andrews is posed to have a big day. The Bengals allowed 76 receptions for 962 yards and 13 TDs to TEs this year. He should have a bigger day than Zay Flowers, who will be matched up with DJ Turner.

I love Burrow being back, but I don’t know if I trust him against a Raven’s team that just rattled of 5 wins.

Official Pick: Baltimore Ravens -7